EAST TEXAS — The forecast for Halloween is looking more trick and treat in East Texas. Severe weather is in the forecast and things are looking rather stormy. Let's take a look at the latest forecast.
The System:
A powerful cold front is pushing in from the northwest and it will be bringing plenty of showers and storms to East Texas as it passes through. This front will be dropping temperatures around 20+ degrees from today and passing through an atmosphere that is moist and conducive to storm development. As of such the Storm Prediction Center has placed a large portion of East Texas under an Enhanced Risk for severe storms (level 3 or 5), while Tyler and Longview are under a Slight Risk for severe weather (level 2 of 5), and our far northern counties are under a Marginal Risk for severe weather (level 1 of 5).
The Timing:
A line of showers and storms is currently forming to the west of the CBS 19 viewing area and will begin pushing into our region heading through this afternoon. Later this afternoon and evening this line will likely produce severe winds, large hail, the possibility for a few tornados, along with heavy rains. This line will likely continue to impact some portion of East Texas through the early overnight. Rain and storms should be gone by the morning commute on Thursday.
Halloween 2018 Future Skycast
The Threat:
All severe weather threats will be possible on Wednesday. The main risk will be damaging severe winds and the possibility for some tornadoes. Hail will also likely be associated with these storms. Heavy rain will be possible all across East Texas with 1 to 3 inches of rain possible over the region. Some locations may see locally higher totals and as of such flooding along local water ways and the potential for flash flooding will be a concern.
As for the tornado risk, the highest risk of tornadic development this afternoon and evening will be toward the south, especially in the Sabine/San Augustine area. The tornado risk will cover all of East Texas as well, so everyone needs to stay weather aware.
These storms have the potential to be dangerous and should be treated seriously. CBS 19 will be watching the weather situation carefully and will have updates throughout the day on-air, online, and on social media. Make sure you have the app installed on your phone before tomorrow to get the latest alerts. Use extra caution and stay weather aware if you plan to go trick or treating.
-- Meteorologist Michael Behrens
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